A forecaster with the National Weather Service thinks Central New York’s winter will be milder than usual this year. The La Niña weather patterns in the upper atmosphere jet stream over the Northeast is showing milder patterns here and colder waters off the Pacific West Coast.
How will La Niña affect NY?
This unusually cold water by the equatorial Pacific can influence the position of the jet stream across North America, most notably from December to February. Typically a La Niña winter could lead to above-average precipitation and average temperatures for Western New York.
What does La Niña mean for Northeast winter?
Northeast. La Niña winters tend to be rather chilly in the region, and precipitation usually becomes a story of the haves and have-nots. Winter weather enthusiasts need to look no further back than last year to see the impacts of a substantial La Niña.
Does La Niña winter mean more snow?
Based on climate analysis (3) from this new snow dataset, we see that La Niña favors increased snowfall over the Northwest and northern Rockies, as well as in the upper Midwest Great Lakes region. Reduced snowfall is observed over parts of the central-southern Plains, Southwest, and mid-Atlantic.
What is the winter forecast for New York?
November 2022 to October 2023. Winter temperatures will be below normal, while precipitation and snowfall will be above normal. The coldest periods will be in early December, early and late January, and most of February. The snowiest periods will be in early to mid-January, late January, and late February.
Are we in a El Niño or La Niña 2022?
La Niña conditions are expected to persist throughout the remainder of 2022. As a result, the outlook into the upcoming winter favors below normal precipitation.
Is La Niña cooling or warming?
La Niña is a climate pattern that describes the cooling of surface ocean waters along the tropical west coast of South America. La Nina is considered to be the counterpart to El Nino, which is characterized by unusually warm ocean temperatures in the equatorial region of the Pacific Ocean.
Will 2022 be a snowy winter in the Northeast?
Region 1: Northeast
The coldest periods will be in early and late January and late February. Precipitation will be above normal. Snowfall will be below normal in the north and above normal in the south, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-December and the first half of January.
How much snow will New York City get this winter?
However, the best snowfall estimate for this winter in the Big Apple is for near normal totals. The average winter snowfall in New York City is about 25 inches, so the Ocean Weather Services is predicting that the 2022-23 winter in New York City will most likely be between 22 and 27 inches.
Will 2022 be a hard winter?
Starting in December 2022 through February 2023, NOAA predicts drier-than-average conditions across the South with wetter-than-average conditions for areas of the Ohio Valley, Great Lakes, northern Rockies and Pacific Northwest.
Is El Niño or La Niña better for snow?
When this index is negative, it indicates a more amplified, colder and snowier pattern over our area. El Niño adds more moisture and storminess, but sometimes brings milder air as well. La Niña typically brings drier and milder conditions. Below are two scatter plot diagrams showing wintertime snowfall vs.
Does La Niña bring a lot of snow?
La Niña winter seasons tend to be snowier than average from the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies to the Great Lakes, upstate New York and northern New England. They tend to be less snowy than average in the Southwest, southern Rockies and southern High Plains.
Is New York going to have a warm winter?
A near-normal temperature profile is expected this winter in NYC, with colder risks early and warmer risks later in the winter. Precipitation is forecast to average above normal for the winter months. Snowfall is expected to average slightly above normal.
Are New York winters getting warmer?
Across the northeastern U.S., winters are warming faster than any other season. Over the last century, average winter temperatures have increased by approximately 3°F, spring temperatures by 2°F, and summer and fall temperatures by 1.4°F. In New York, winters have warmed three times faster than summers.
What are the worst winter months in New York?
The cold season lasts for 3.3 months, from December 3 to March 12, with an average daily high temperature below 48°F. The coldest month of the year in New York City is January, with an average low of 29°F and high of 40°F.
Why is it so cold this year 2022?
A Polar Vortex is emerging in the Stratosphere over the North Pole and will impact the weather as we head closer to Winter 2022/2023. A Polar Vortex is now emerging in the Stratosphere over the North Pole. It began forming as seasonal cooling intensified and will continue to strengthen well into the Winter of 2022/2023
Is La Niña wet or dry?
Rain clouds normally form over warm ocean water. La Niña blows all of this warm water to the western Pacific. This means that places like Indonesia and Australia can get much more rain than usual. However, the cold water in the eastern Pacific causes less rain clouds to form there.
Does La Niña make it colder?
As shown in the image below, La Nina episodes in the winter months feature a wave-like jet stream flow across the United States and Canada, which causes colder and stormier than average conditions across the North, and warmer and less stormier conditions across the south.
How long does a La Niña last?
El Ninos and La Ninas usually last between nine and 12 months but some, particularly La Ninas, can linger for two years in a row. Three-year La Ninas, as we are seeing now, are rarer, having occurred only in 1973-1976 and 1998-2001.
What will the winter of 2022 be like in New England?
November 2022 to October 2023. Winter will be colder than normal, with the coldest periods in late November, early December, early and late January, and early and late February. Precipitation and snowfall will be above normal in the north and below normal in the south.
What is the winter forecast for upstate New York?
Winter will be colder than normal, with the coldest temperatures in early December and late January to mid-February. Both precipitation and snowfall will be above normal. The snowiest periods will be in late November to early December and early to mid-January. April will be cooler than normal, while May will be warmer.